Will at least 100,000 Americans die of bird flu in 2025?
Plus
15
Ṁ56942026
10%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
For comparison, Covid killed about 1.2 million Americans, and here are recent deaths from all forms of influenza in the US:
I will include recent mutations of bird flu in the death total, even if those strains no longer infect birds.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will there be a large-scale bird flu outbreak in the US in 2024? (100+ cases)
5% chance
Will someone die from or with H5N1 Bird Flu in America in 2024?
5% chance
Will there be a 1m+ bird flu outbreak in humans in the US by the end of 2025?
24% chance
Will there be 10k or more human cases of H5N1 in the US by the end of 2025?
29% chance
Will at least 100,000 Americans die of H5N1 by the end of 2024?
1% chance
Will at least 500,000 Americans die of H5N1 by the end of 2024?
1% chance
Will there be at least 1000 confirmed human deaths due to H5N1 in the US in 2025?
19% chance
Will the CDC announce that a "bird flu" (H5N1) epidemic exists anywhere in the United States in 2025?
71% chance
Will more than 10,000 Americans die of H5N1 bird flu by the end of 2025?
11% chance
Will there be a "large-scale bird flu outbreak" (100+ human confirmed H5N1 cases) in the US by the end of 2025?
91% chance