Will anyone with at least 50,000 fans be discovered to have been using an anonymous Manifold account by the end of 2024?
18
111
αΉ833αΉ370
2025
74%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
"Fans" means Twitter followers, Youtube subscribers, etc.
The account must have been at least somewhat active on Manifold prior to the discovery of its owner's identity. I must be at least 90% confident that it does in fact belong to that person in order to resolve this market positivly.
Get αΉ200 play money
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