Will a human-powered light sail be launched into space before 2040?
4
110Ṁ1012040
48%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solar_sail#Interstellar_flight
Must be powered by laser, maser, or other human source of light; not the sun. It must actually be a space vehicle, not a contained experiment.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will there be a crewed mission to Neptune before 2040?
10% chance
Will a laser lift a payload to space before 2040?
55% chance
Will a laser lift a payload to space before 2055?
90% chance
Will there be a crewed mission to Neptune before 2045?
12% chance
Will a laser lift a payload to space before 2045?
83% chance
Will a laser lift a payload to space before 2050?
84% chance
Will there be a crewed mission to Jupiter before 2040?
29% chance
Will there be a crewed mission to Saturn before 2040?
26% chance
Will there be a crewed mission to Saturn before 2045?
37% chance
Will there be a crewed mission to Mars before 2040?
71% chance