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MANIFOLD
What will be the percentage difference in this market between the person with the most YES shares and the person with the most NO shares?
10
แน€190แน€4.6k
resolved Feb 19
Resolved as
23%

Resolves to absoluteValue([top YES holder position] - [top NO holder position]) / max([top YES holder position], [top NO holder position])

For example, if the top YES holder has 900 shares, and the top NO holder has 600 shares, the difference is 300, which is 33% of the maximum position of 900. (Would also resolve to 33% if the top NO holder had 900 and the top YES holder had 600).

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Shall we have a do-over?

Wow, that got heated.

predictedYES

Would've traded last second instead of last minute if I wasn't on my phone right now

Wasn't expecting anyone to be paying attention last minute, well played

This should resolve to (4,393-3,402)/4,393 = 22.55% ~= 23%

predictedYES

If someone wants to make free money, message me @BionicD0LPH1N#5326 on Discord quick!

predictedNO

Too late. Btw, the strategy (or should I say, evil scheme ๐Ÿ˜ˆ) was to steal all of @A's money. They placed a YES limit order at 20%, which is very dangerous! If someone else had teamed up with me, one of us could have brought down the percentage to 20% (getting < 5x the shares of A's limit), then the other could have bought it down to 19.9%. The person who brought it down to 19.9% would have nearly equal in NO shares to @A YES shares, bringing the resolution to ~0%. There wasn't that much money to be made, but it was completely free!

PS: I'm sharing this because evil-monologuing is fun, but I get that doing so when the scheme didn't pan out is slightly lame. ๐Ÿ‘