On what day of the month will this market resolve?

Basic

Ṁ1069

2027

expected

ALL

I'll resolve this market on an arbitrarily-chosen day. Its value will be that day's date.

I will not bet in this market.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

predicts LOWER

@bohaska Looks like an error, fixed.

This is an... interesting result. Why would anyone buy the market further away from today's date?

predicts LOWER

@IsaacKing I figured it was more likely to resolve in a subsequent month, so the mean result was about 16.

Related questions