This market resolves in the direction of the largest single bet placed on it. If two bets are tied, it resolves in the direction of the first one. Sales count as bets in the opposite direction. Limit orders count as however much of them was filled.

For example:

Bob bets M$15 on NO.

Bob bets M$5 on NO.

Bob sells M$20 of NO.

Alice bets M$16 on NO.

Bob places a M$30 limit order on NO.

Carol bets some amount >=M$20 on YES, filling M$20 of Bob's limit order.

This example would resolve to YES.

To prevent sniping, I'll leave this market open until 2 days have passed since the current largest bet. (I might forget to change the close date proactivly, in which case I'll just reopen it for 2 more days as soon as I can do so.)

Close date updated to 2022-11-10 9:10 am

Close date updated to 2022-11-08 11:20 am