How much money do I own?
40
105
1K
resolved Apr 13
Resolved
2373

Resolves to the combined total of my Paypal account, bank account, and cash in my wallet at close. (In USD. Any other currencies will be converted to USD at the exchange rate displayed by Google at the time.) If I forgot about any places I may own currency and remember those before market close, I'll include those too.

Doesn't include other valueable items I own (even if they can be easily exchanged for cash), nor any money I may owe or be owed.

I won't bet, nor move money around in order to manipulate this market.

Get Ṁ200 play money

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A better version:

So how are you planning to buy enough mana for whales vs minnows then :P

Didn't include however much is in two other Paypal accounts that I can no longer access, because I think it's either $0 or some very low amount, and I can't get into the accounts to check without jumping through a bunch of hoops.

@IsaacKing your usd value of your mana is worth 5x your net worth

predicted LOWER

@JjJio It’s cash on hand not net worth. Im surprised people were guessing so high

@Gen I think normal people keep more cash on hand. I'm a degenerate so I put it all into Magic cards.

predicted LOWER

@IsaacKing I was fully prepared to be wrong, but I usually invest as soon as I have between 5-10k cause otherwise I feel like I'm being inefficient. It's a huge inference based on the little I know about you, but it's mostly projected from your capital efficiency here and my expectation that it would translate into real life.

Emergency funds are for retirees 🤣

Degenerates 1 | 0 Everyone else

predicted HIGHER

Actually, youre not counting investments, so its probably actually lower, most people dont keep that much in just cash.

predicted LOWER

@AlexRockwell isaac deals magic cards and ppl in that line of work have cash

bought Ṁ30 of HIGHER

I think higher, because if not you spent way too much on mana :D

Hmm. I think people may be surprised when this market resolves.

Hmm. Why do people think this number is accurate?

sold Ṁ38 of HIGHER

@IsaacKing They're probably planning to manipulate the market by paypalling you $30,000

@jfjurchen That wouldn't even work though, since if I already have 30k they'd be making the market resolve too high. (Don't let me stop anyone from trying though.)

@IsaacKing I think if they buy HIGHER at 25k and it resolves 60k, they still make money. But I also expected to make a lot more than 5 mana buying at 5k and selling at 30k so maybe don't listen to me when it comes to this market type

@jfjurchen It's the same as a binary market, just mapped to whatever numeric interval chosen.

bought Ṁ65 of HIGHER

Relevant, from https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/can-i-be-trusted-to-buy-and-sell-tr: "I own upwards of $100,000 of rare Magic misprints. Many of these misprints and test prints can easily be faked, and buyers are only interested in them if they trust the seller. If I scammed someone, it would be much more difficult for me to ever sell those."