By the end of 2024, will anyone have used Manifold to gain fame elsewhere?
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แน111แน170
2025
22%
chance
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1M
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We have several people importing their fame from other platforms onto Manifold and using it to build a base of followers here. (Aella, Eliezer, etc.)
Will anyone do the inverse? Become popular on Manifold first, then take the follower they gained here to Twitter or some other platform and make a name for themselves there?
Resolves very subjectivly. Feel free to ask about more specific hypotheticals and I'll do my best to clarify.
(They have to have actually built up a follower base here. It can't be someone getting famous by reporting on Manifold in an article that goes viral or something.)
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