🏅 Top traders

Wow I literally have no idea what happened in this tournament, just bought NO on this and the Wobbles market to arbitrage and ended up both resolving as no. Cool.

I am using my moderation permissions to resolve this market on behalf of the creator. This is according to the Manifold Markets unresolved markets policy found here.

If the creator returns and wishes to change the resolution, please reply to this comment and tag @DavidChee. The admins will then undo the resolution I chose and you may pick your desired resolution.

Any chance of getting this resolved?

@vincentpearce @DavidChee

@vincentpearce And related: https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/at-the-end-of-the-manifold-mtg-tour

FWIW, Isaac's last market resolution was 10 days ago. Last comment, 2 months or so. IDK what that means for these markets, but they both have clear resolutions, IMO.

At the end of the Manifold MTG tournament, will Wobbles have the highest total profit on the leaderboard?

0.8% chance. The end of the tournament being defined as after all markets on it have resolved, or it seems they won’t be resolving any time soon, or this would cause a paradox. (i.e. this one.) https://manifold.markets/group/february-mtg-tournament/leaderboards Ignores attempts at manipulation.

Should probably also tag @IsaacKing, here.

@vincentpearce @ian

Are we sure Creator bonuses don't add in, making Isaac still the leader? (EDIT: Nvm, I misread the leaderboard's 2nd column as holding a mana value.)

Is Isaac still able to place new bets given his negative mana balance?

If not, someone could overtake him if there are big bets on a top 4 market.

Can you explain what wou mean by "Ignores attempts at manipulation." ?

@Odoacre Adding an unrelated market to the group, sending someone temporary profit that gets sent back afterwards, etc. Anything that doesn't represent "real" profits in tournament-related markets.