At the beginning of 2040, will I have watched somebody die?
Basic
8
Ṁ2232040
25%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Inspired by https://twitter.com/eigenrobot/status/1705743497859318097.
Only counts me watching in person, not via camera.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will I be alive at the start of 2060?
64% chance
Will I be alive by 2100?
39% chance
Will I be alive at the start of 2100?
26% chance
Will I be alive at the start of 2040?
83% chance
Will I be alive at the start of 2080?
44% chance
Will I be alive at the start of 2070?
65% chance
Will I be alive at the start of 2090?
32% chance
Will anyone die in space before 2030?
28% chance
Will there be a death on the moon from any cause before the end of 2040?
54% chance
Will Joe Biden still be alive at the beginning of 2030?
55% chance