In which month will the next Bulgarian parliamentary election be held?
In which month will the next Bulgarian parliamentary election be held?
1
100Ṁ5562028
1%
February 2025
1%
March 2025
0.9%
April 2025
1%
May 2025
2%
June 2025
11%
July 2025
11%
August 2025
11%
September 2025
11%
October 2025
48%
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2021%E2%80%93present_Bulgarian_political_crisis
If no regular government is constituted, the elections should be held two months after a presidential decree.
The regular term length of the parliament is 4 years. However, even if there is a regular government, it could resign or be overthrown with a no-confidence vote, which could trigger a snap election.
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What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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