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MANIFOLD
If Vladimir Putin loses power before the end of 2024, will Aleksander Lukashenko lose power within six months?
1
Ṁ70Ṁ6
resolved Jan 31
Resolved
N/A

Resolves N/A if any of these hold:

a) Putin stays in power until Jan 01, 2025

b) Lukashenko loses power while Putin remains the president of Russia

Same question, but different time interval:

...within a month?

...within six months? (You are here)

...within a year?

Market context
Politics
Ukraine-Russia war
Russia
Belarus
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