Tracking predictions from the podcast Oh No, Ross and Carrie! episode 399. Transcript available at https://maximumfun.org/transcripts/oh-no-ross-and-carrie/transcript-oh-no-ross-and-carrie-ep-399-ross-carrie-and-psychics-predict-2024-cancer-cures-and-election-edition/
Carrie Poppy: “Trudeau of Canada will be asked to step down.” Big. “And a new pope for the Catholic Church in 2024.”
Ross Blocher: Wow, okay. We’ll see how that goes, Kelle Sutliff.
I will resolve according to their evaluation in 2025 ("No" for a zero on their scale, "N/A" for one, and "Yes" for two)
With the podcast ending, I can no longer simply defer to the host's judgements for the resolution. Please vote in this poll if you have thoughts on how I should resolve these markets:
1,000
3.00https://www.politico.com/news/2024/12/31/justin-trudeau-canada-liberals-support-00196165 looks like more than rumors to me (and was not "priced in" when the prediction was made), so I'm calling this one for YES.
@traders my resolution criteria for this market failed to account for the possibility that we wouldn't get ratings from Ross and Carrie, but with the podcast having ended that now seems pretty likely. Please vote in this poll to let me know if you'd prefer me to use my judgement instead, or just resolve this market N/A.
Either way, I will not trade in this market.
Asked by whom? I see a lot of bumper stickers on big trucks asking him to every day.