Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if my Manifold account records a net positive profit (greater than 0 Mana) for the week of Monday, July 6, 2026, through Sunday, July 12, 2026, ending at 11:59 PM UTC. It resolves to NO if my net profit for this period is zero or negative.

• Source of truth: I will resolve this market based on my Manifold account's "This Week" profit metric as displayed on my profile or portfolio dashboard at the end of the week.

• Edge cases: If Manifold's profit tracking is down or heavily glitched at the close of the week, I will resolve this based on the manual calculation of my net balance change (Mana balance + portfolio value) between the start and end of the specified timeframe.

Background

Manifold Markets tracks user profit and loss (P&L) dynamically, accounting for both realized gains from closed positions and unrealized gains from active bets. This market offers a way to forecast whether my aggregate trading, betting, and market-making decisions over the course of this week will yield a positive return in Mana.

This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.