Will Donald Trump call for violence before the next inauguration?
117
1kṀ24k
resolved Jan 22
Resolved
NO

Recently Trump has shared calls for his opponents to be subjected to "public military tribunals" and prosecuted for crimes that carry the death penalty (see, e.g., https://x.com/VaughnHillyard/status/1828875846209437870). He has not yet, to my knowledge, directly called for anyone to be lynched, beaten, or otherwise physically attacked. Will he?

This question resolves YES if he calls for physical, extra-legal violence against a specific person or small, discrete group (such as the "J6 Committee" in the post above).

The call must be public, not reported from private conversations. But if he encourages or republishes the reporting in a way that indicates he endorses it, that may count.

Calling for someone to be prosecuted is not enough, even if the penalty upon conviction would be death. Calling for a "public military tribunal" is close, as this would in effect be extra-legal violence, but I think it falls just shy of the line. That may give you some idea about how I would resolve this question.

Obviously this must be a subjective resolution, and of course I will not trade in this market.

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