Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Who will win the Georgia Democratic primary for Governor in 2026?
11
Ṁ200Ṁ9.4k
resolved May 20
100%99.0%
Keisha Lance Bottoms
0.3%
Michael Thurmond
0.1%
Geoff Duncan
0.2%
Jason Esteves
0.1%
Olujimi Brown
0.1%
Derrick Jackson
0.1%
Ruwa Romman
0.1%Other

Resolution criteria

The Democratic primary will be held on May 19, 2026. The winner will be determined by the candidate who becomes the Democratic nominee - whether after the initial primary or a runoff election.

Background

Roy Barnes (D), elected in 1998, was the last Democrat elected governor in the state. Four candidates - Keisha Bottoms, Geoff Duncan, Jason Esteves, and Michael Thurmond - lead in polling, fundraising, and media coverage ahead of the primary. In the Democratic primary for Governor, 35% support former Atlanta Mayor Keisha Lance Bottoms, 13% former Lt. Gov. Geoff Duncan, and 7% former DeKalb County CEO Michael Thurmond. A plurality (39%) are undecided.

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#TraderTotal profit
1Ṁ73
2Ṁ57
3Ṁ57
4Ṁ7
5Ṁ6
Sort by:

@Houston2025 Keisha Lance Bottoms won