Will Republicans lead in the final 538 House forecast?
Plus
12
Ṁ1574Nov 4
77%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/house/
Whoever has a higher chance of winning per the final forecast, whenever that is released. Presumably the day before or on election day. If the answer is obvious I will resolve it November 4th.
Yes=Republicans
No=Democrats
Will resolve per the topline numbers. If 50-50 will resolve 50% accordingly.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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