Resolution criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Michael Waltz is confirmed by the U.S. Senate as the United States Ambassador to the United Nations. The market will resolve to "No" if he is not confirmed, either due to the Senate rejecting his nomination, the nomination being withdrawn, or if the nomination expires without confirmation.
Background:
On May 1, 2025, President Donald Trump announced his intention to nominate Michael Waltz, the then-National Security Advisor, as the U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations. This nomination followed Waltz's departure from his role as National Security Advisor amid controversy over the accidental inclusion of a journalist in a Signal chat discussing sensitive military plans. (apnews.com)
Michael Waltz is a former U.S. Representative from Florida's 6th congressional district and a retired U.S. Army Special Forces officer. He served multiple combat tours in Afghanistan, the Middle East, and Africa, earning four Bronze Stars. Waltz also held positions as a defense policy director in the Pentagon and as a counterterrorism advisor to Vice President Dick Cheney. (en.wikipedia.org)
The confirmation process for a U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations involves nomination by the President, followed by hearings and a vote in the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, and finally, a confirmation vote by the full Senate. Given the circumstances surrounding Waltz's departure from his previous role, his confirmation hearings are expected to be closely scrutinized. (apnews.com)
Considerations:
The controversy known as "Signalgate," involving Waltz's accidental inclusion of a journalist in a sensitive Signal chat, may influence the Senate's confirmation process. Additionally, the political dynamics within the Senate, including the balance of power between parties and individual senators' positions on Waltz's nomination, could impact the outcome.