https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/
Whoever has a higher chance of winning.
Yes=Harris
No=Trump
If it is not released by September 30th, it will resolve as soon as it is released.
@TimothyBandors mismatch between description and title was unfortunate, but I don't think there's a better solution now, so I'm not going to intervene. You can use the resolution rating system to give feedback about the creator when the market resolves.
@TimothyBandors I have the exact same question with August 31st like you thought. If you traded there you would have lost Mana. Feel free to trade there for a cheaper price: https://manifold.markets/HillaryClinton/will-harris-lead-in-the-538-electio
@TimothyBandors OP updated the market, the description now says "If it is not released by September 30th, it will resolve as soon as it is released.", previously that said August 31st.