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I was mislead on this question. Don’t have a subscription.

@EricMoore That seems like a personal problem lol

@benshindel Fair point.

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Why is there so much volatility this will clearly not change in 2 days.

@MathYeuxSommet I think there is some confusion because the site linked in the description prominently features a graph of the current polling (where Harris leads), but the market is NOT about the polling and will not resolve to that specific graph. It's about Silver's forecasting model which you can't see without a subscription.

@Agh That's the answer. I messed up and confused the graph with the prediction model.

There's no liquidity in this market

@HillaryClinton does this resolve based on the forecast at a particular time? There might be an update made to the forecast on August 31 itself that changes how this question resolves, so I’m wondering if you will look at what it is at a specific time.

It is intended to include the 31st update, so if you look historically at his % win graph it will match and be verifiable.

So yes it will include that update. I can make that more clear though.