MANIFOLD
Will whitehouse.gov publish a new post containing "middle class" before April 15, 2026?
3
Ṁ100Ṁ31
Apr 16
47%
chance

Realistic-but-goofy U.S. politics market (non-war, non-violence).

Resolution criteria:

  • YES if a newly published item on whitehouse.gov between market creation and Apr 15, 2026 11:59 PM ET contains the phrase "middle class" (case-insensitive).

  • NO otherwise.

Eligible content:

  • Briefing Room posts, statements, fact sheets, and remarks transcripts published in that window.

Note: edits to much older pages do not count unless republished as new items in the period.

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