Will OpenAI have significant financial troubles in 2026?
8
100Ṁ271
2027
33%
chance

This market resolves YES if OpenAI experiences significant financial problems during 2026, defined as any of the following:

  • The company goes bankrupt or faces imminent bankruptcy risk requiring emergency intervention

  • Significant inability to meet contractual obligations to infrastructure partners

  • Company admits significantly lower financial milestones moving forward

  • Forced restructuring of major compute commitments or partnerships due to financial constraints

  • Significant decrease in valuation or delay of planned IPO/exit due to financial turbulence

  • Any other event which results in widespread news reporting on OpenAI’s struggles financially

The market resolves NO if OpenAI successfully navigates 2026 without experiencing any of the above conditions. Resolution will be based on public financial disclosures, regulatory filings, credible reporting from major financial news outlets (Bloomberg, Reuters, Financial Times, Wall Street Journal, etc.), and official company statements. Since this resolution may be a bit subjective, I will not be trading in this market.

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