This market resolves YES if OpenAI experiences significant financial problems during 2026, defined as any of the following:
The company goes bankrupt or faces imminent bankruptcy risk requiring emergency intervention
Significant inability to meet contractual obligations to infrastructure partners
Company admits significantly lower financial milestones moving forward
Forced restructuring of major compute commitments or partnerships due to financial constraints
Significant decrease in valuation or delay of planned IPO/exit due to financial turbulence
Any other event which results in widespread news reporting on OpenAI’s struggles financially
The market resolves NO if OpenAI successfully navigates 2026 without experiencing any of the above conditions. Resolution will be based on public financial disclosures, regulatory filings, credible reporting from major financial news outlets (Bloomberg, Reuters, Financial Times, Wall Street Journal, etc.), and official company statements. Since this resolution may be a bit subjective, I will not be trading in this market.