Will Vladimir Putin visit North Korea before 2025?
75
1kṀ21k
resolved Jun 20
Resolved
YES

Between date of question creation September 2023 and Dec 31st 2024.

Resolves based on credible news reports.

Russia
Global Macro
Vladimir Putin
North Korea
World leader travel
Bi-lats
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According to his spokesman, Putin is "likely to discuss his soon-to-come visit to North Korea" with the Korean Foreign Minister who's currently visiting Moscow.

Should have at least some correlation to this market, Putin NK visit seems extremely unlikely in case he doesn't win March 2024 elections.

predictedYES

@HenriThunberg Some correlation, but not necessarily much - Putin might well visit NK as early as this year.

predictedNO

@PS made another market for it 🤷‍♂️

predictedYES

@HenriThunberg Nice!

(Also, on second thoughts, losing the election might make North Korea very attractive indeed :) )

@HenriThunberg there's close to 0% chance he doesn't win the election, unless he dies beforehand

predictedNO

@jBosc yeah, at the time I wrote my comment the linked market was at 80% – and indeed if he dies beforehand he does not win the election nor go to North Korea.

I can specify Putin in a body bag going to North Korea doesn't count.

Putin 'gratefully' accepts Kim invite to visit North Korea
Russian President Vladimir Putin accepted Kim Jong Un's invitation to visit North Korea, stoking U.S. concerns that a revived Moscow-Pyongyang axis could bolster Russia's military in Ukraine and provide Kim sensitive missile technology.

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