Will Vladimir Putin visit North Korea before 2025?
44
306
830
2025
65%
chance

Between date of question creation September 2023 and Dec 31st 2024.

Resolves based on credible news reports.

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bought Ṁ100 of YES

According to his spokesman, Putin is "likely to discuss his soon-to-come visit to North Korea" with the Korean Foreign Minister who's currently visiting Moscow.

bought Ṁ10 of NO

Should have at least some correlation to this market, Putin NK visit seems extremely unlikely in case he doesn't win March 2024 elections.

predicts YES

@HenriThunberg Some correlation, but not necessarily much - Putin might well visit NK as early as this year.

predicts NO

@PS made another market for it 🤷‍♂️

predicts YES

@HenriThunberg Nice!

(Also, on second thoughts, losing the election might make North Korea very attractive indeed :) )

@HenriThunberg there's close to 0% chance he doesn't win the election, unless he dies beforehand

predicts NO

@jBosc yeah, at the time I wrote my comment the linked market was at 80% – and indeed if he dies beforehand he does not win the election nor go to North Korea.

I can specify Putin in a body bag going to North Korea doesn't count.

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