Will ≥1% of Spotify's streams in 2024 consist of AI-generated music?
84
1kṀ13k
resolved Apr 10
Resolved
NO
Suno v3 launched
Udio launch date

Some people are claiming we're facing "a modern Napster moment" in music, from AI-generated songs of various sorts. Will the hype continue, is it exaggerated, or will perhaps the industry shut it down?

Resolves YES if credible news sources report this being the case, or numbers/estimates that heavily indicate that this is the case. Note that this leaves the burden of proof on the YES side.

I will not bet in this market. So I am leaving other resolution criteria open to my best judgment, in case needed.

I expect a YES to be able to resolve early, but a NO to happen at the end of Q1 2025 if no signs of YES show up.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ132
2Ṁ122
3Ṁ91
4Ṁ83
5Ṁ61
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy