
Will ≥1% of Spotify's streams in 2024 consist of AI-generated music?
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1kṀ13kresolved Apr 10
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Some people are claiming we're facing "a modern Napster moment" in music, from AI-generated songs of various sorts. Will the hype continue, is it exaggerated, or will perhaps the industry shut it down?
Resolves YES if credible news sources report this being the case, or numbers/estimates that heavily indicate that this is the case. Note that this leaves the burden of proof on the YES side.
I will not bet in this market. So I am leaving other resolution criteria open to my best judgment, in case needed.
I expect a YES to be able to resolve early, but a NO to happen at the end of Q1 2025 if no signs of YES show up.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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