Will ≥1% of Spotify's streams in 2024 consist of AI-generated music?
84
1kṀ13kresolved Apr 10
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Some people are claiming we're facing "a modern Napster moment" in music, from AI-generated songs of various sorts. Will the hype continue, is it exaggerated, or will perhaps the industry shut it down?
Resolves YES if credible news sources report this being the case, or numbers/estimates that heavily indicate that this is the case. Note that this leaves the burden of proof on the YES side.
I will not bet in this market. So I am leaving other resolution criteria open to my best judgment, in case needed.
I expect a YES to be able to resolve early, but a NO to happen at the end of Q1 2025 if no signs of YES show up.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ132 | |
| 2 | Ṁ122 | |
| 3 | Ṁ91 | |
| 4 | Ṁ83 | |
| 5 | Ṁ61 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will any AI music I release achieve 10,000 listens on Soundcloud in 2025?
47% chance
Will Spotify create a record label and release AI-generated songs by 2026?
27% chance
will an AI Music Streaming site have annual revenue of $50M+ before 2027?
34% chance
Will AI achieve superintelligence in music composition by 2026?
17% chance
By 2030, will AI be able to produce a song that is indistinguishable from a new song by a particular artist?
72% chance
Will the first AI-generated song win a major music award (like a Grammy, MTV VMA, or similar) by the end of 2026?
32% chance
Will an AI-generated song receive a Grammy by 2028?
18% chance