What will happen at the L + E wedding?
4
575Ṁ1952
resolved Jun 19
Resolved
YES
The wedding happens on the planned date
Resolved
YES
≥7 non-host speeches/happenings at dinner
Resolved
YES
At least 10 seconds of Carola will be played on the dance floor
Resolved
NO
Some guests are still dancing in a communal space at 01:00
Resolved
NO
≥12 non-host speeches/happenings at dinner
Resolved
NO
Somebody uses a smartphone during their own speech
Resolved
NO
Visible blood in public sometime during the day
Resolved
NO
Father or Mother of L or E delivers either groom or bride at ceremony
Resolved
NO
More than 10 consecutive words in a Balkan language during speeches
Resolved
NO
This market is mentioned in one of the speeches
Resolved
NO
An adult throws up during the day/night
Resolved
NO
Both L + E have specifically written vows for ceremony
Resolved
NO
More than $1k is raised for charity in connection to the wedding
Resolved
NO
Some guests are still awake in a communal space at 02:00
Resolved
NO
L has physical remains (e.g. scar, wound, ...) from the bachelor party on wedding day

Let's add some probability spice to this blessed day of celebration!
Feel free to add your own questions.
Insider trading is allowed, so bet on your own risk!

As I haven't asked for permission to create this market, please don't divulge information that would let people know who the wedding concerns.

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For this (and the ≥12 version) I mean any games, events, speeches that are initiated by people other than the groom/bride or any toastmaster/toastmistress from the moment people sit down for dinner, until the end of the evening.

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