≥2000 engaged users on Manifold in 2024?
25
13k
2025
53%
chance

Any single day has at least 2000 Engaged users, e.g. as Jan 31 has 1582 in the below screenshot.

Resolves according to manifold.markets/stats, or official Manifold data that replaces it.

I might bet in this market, as resolution is unambiguous.

Get Ṁ600 play money
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opened aṀ5,000 YES at 53% order

@Bayesian long way to go on that chart. Insider info or plan to manipulate?

@deagol thought we were at 1500 ngl. No insider info. Also YES shares are more valuable than NO shares bc in the worlds where this resolves YES the shares are more likely to be worth money