Will Apple’s M3 chips prove to be significantly less reliable than M1/M2 chips by 2025-01-01?
11
70
Ṁ280Ṁ90
2025
10%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
I'm no hardware expert, but my gut is slightly concerned that M3 chips may have too little margin for physical wear and tear, and will not meet lifespan and reliability expectations.
I expect the following criteria to be necessary and sufficient for a yes resolution:
a Hacker News post, with over 200 votes, about reliability issues with M3 chips that recommends sticking with M1/M2.
hard data (doesn't have to be a lot) of major hardware problems (e.g. bit flips, sudden forced restarts, cores needing to be disabled) happening over twice as often as M1 or M2 chips.
I sold my shares and will not bet anymore in this market.
Get Ṁ200 play money
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