Will an LLM have a context window of 20M or more in 2024?
1k
2025
75%
chance

Resolves to Yes on or before Dec 31, 2024 if a widely available LLM in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Top 15 overall has a widely available context window of 20 million tokens or more. This can be via API, open source, web, app or other interface.

Get Ṁ600 play money
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bought Ṁ30 YES

Might depend on the definition of "context window"

bought Ṁ2 YES at 87%

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