Will an LLM have a context window of 20M or more in 2024?

Basic

30

Ṁ3.1kJan 1

22%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves to Yes on or before Dec 31, 2024 if a widely available LLM in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Top 15 overall has a widely available context window of 20 million tokens or more. This can be via API, open source, web, app or other interface.

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