Closes 2pm EST. NYSE closes 4pm EST.
S&P Forecasting Dashboard
Resolves based on: https://www.google.com/finance/quote/.INX:INDEXSP
Trading this question counts towards the S&P Forecasting Tournament for the month of November (inspired by Alex B. Goode). At the end of the month top traders are eligible for a prize.
Rank---Award
1 2500
2 1500
3 1000Good luck forecasting!
We have had an influx of traders so I wanted to give a few options for the December leagues (S&P and BTC).
Please vote: https://strawpoll.com/GJn47VEQbyz
Trading in this market counts towards the @SirCryptomind Q4 Mana Leaderboard.
DASHBOARD (General Info, Top 10 Prize Info, Bonus Mana Rewards Info, etc.)
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ293 | |
| 2 | Ṁ59 | |
| 3 | Ṁ44 | |
| 4 | Ṁ9 | |
| 5 | Ṁ9 |
@Haws Returns/trade is not tracked so it is probably too hard, but ...
If the prizes went out for highest return per trade placed, that would be interesting. @Jekylmeister won the most today on only 3 trades, and rocketed into third for monthly prizes.
@TeddyWeverka I'd probably be up there for Highest Return & Highest Loss If Counting All Trades In The Month. 🤣
@TeddyWeverka I'm kind of new at this and don't pretend to understand all the angles. Is what I did today to 'rocket' into third a bad thing? (I'm really enjoying it, though.)
@Jekylmeister It shows that 1 great prediction can bring great rewards. Not at all bad. You had perfect timing with it being EOM.
@Jekylmeister You rocked. You had me convinced that you were analyzing this on another level. This made me step up my game.
I figured you saw the top three rewards and calculated that into the return on your bet. And that made a modest direct-return bet into a good return when you included the end of month bonus. It was strategic.
And you had me figuring how close I was to losing second place. I couldn't bet on NO for fear of going down if I were on the opposite side of you and the market turned. You dragged me into the YES camp. thanks.
Just got to give a big thank you to everyone that trades this and my other questions. You all keep this going. Next month there is over 10kṀ up for grabs. It wouldn't be possible if it wasn't for the daily traders on this, and other crypto stock markets (especially for other creators). Your trades keep us alive.
Enough of that... As you all know, if you aint first you are last. @Lion solidified his position early on and has maintained the top spot. He is our S&P Forecasting winner for November!
The top 3 are:
See you in December!
@Haws I dont think it is an ocean. I thought you were Canadian? I am East Coast USA, living in the Capitol of the Confederacy 😭 , but we tore down all those racist statues lol.
(I've been hella sick and I feel Delirious, so excuse me if I have brain fog for a few days)
@Haws Nah, probably throws many off because the time of day I am always active is usually tail end of Asian Markets/Opening of UK, than I go to bed. I basically live on Pacific time for work, but live on the east coast, so it makes things wonky from perspectives of others sometimes.
@SirCryptomind Thats why I thought that! "no way this mf is up at 3 am rating my questions"
Will the trading volume on this market exceed the November median trading volume? You can bet on it here:
Will the Trading volume on the November 30th daily Manifold S&P 500 market exceed Ṁ3467?
@ScipioFabius Ṁ3525>Ṁ3467, you win big.
If you try to manipulate the meta market by buying and selling the same position on the market it refers to, you get hit by the acceleration bot sneaking a buy in-between your two actions.
@TeddyWeverka Yep, its generally not worth it, so these type of markets are somewhat manipulation resistant, but I figured I lose less by ensuring that I get back the 200 mana I haphazardly dumped in your market :")