YES Condition:
Oppenheimer must gross 50 million or more for it's box office weekend (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt15398776/?ref_=bo_se_r_1)
NO Condition:
Oppenheimer must gross 49,999,999.99 or less.
This market CLOSES: July 21, 2023 23:59 PM EDT.
Be sure to lock in your predictions prior to closing time.
This market RESOLVES: July 23, 2023 23:59 PM EDT OR once Box Office Mojo releases the final opening numbers.
Context:
Dunkirk grossed $50,513,488 in 2017.
Barbie is expected to gross 55 million, 10-20 million higher than Oppenheimer's projected 35-45 million. (https://www.comingsoon.net/movies/news/1295028-barbie-early-box-office-projections-higher-than-oppenheimer)
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ137 | |
| 2 | Ṁ78 | |
| 3 | Ṁ59 | |
| 4 | Ṁ45 | |
| 5 | Ṁ40 |
Multiple sources (boxofficemojo) and Thenumbers @SirCryptomind is referencing in this market and others confirm 80.5M.
This market resolves as YES.
https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl3725886209/?ref_=bo_hm_rd
https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Oppenheimer-(2023)#tab=box-office
$48,690,000 so far if you don't include the Premier day.
If you are including the Premier Day in this market, it is already a YES.
https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Oppenheimer-(2023)#tab=box-office
Their estimate for today are posted also:
@SirCryptomind Yeah deadline and that website seems to both receive the same numbers from distributors
@parhizj Have I been reading it wrong? Does the $33,080,000 number include the $10,500,000 from the Premier day? (As if P day and Day 1 are combined)
@SirCryptomind Well, those numbers aren’t official yet - they’re the numbers that the studio report that they “project”. Should probably wait for them to be finalized first.
@chilli I certainly will rarely, if ever, participate in these movie markets, too much time spent. Should've played a round of golf instead 😂
@SirCryptomind That should include previews (~10M).
Look at the graphs for other movies, they only show cumulative numbers...
Universal’s “Oppenheimer” looks to open between $40 million and $60 million. The movie nabbed $10.5 million Thursday night.
https://www.cnbc.com/2023/07/21/barbenheimer-box-office-thursday-ticket-sales.html
Here we will be getting the release on the 23rd... of AUGUST. I can't believe Italy moved it back a month just because August sales are tipically a few percentage points higher than in July 😭
@Haws I got my IMAX ticket for Oppenheimer for Sunday after the Formula 1 race. I doubt I will see Barbie, and thankfully my 5 kids are boys and have no interest in it.
Predictions are for 40-50, but it is 3 hours… I am betting NO.
https://deadline.com/2023/07/barbie-oppenheimer-box-office-opening-1235440879/
@parhizj Domestic Opening weekend numbers.
See the Dunkirk opening weekend on boxofficemojo as an example. That will be the number used to resolve this market for Oppenheimer
@Haws Opening day is today 7/20/23 ; Not sure if you made the close date wrong on accident or some other reason for choosing Friday night after 1.5 days of them being in Theaters. (Didnt want to dox myself so I blurred what I could).
Almost every showtime Thursday/Friday are near sell out, Saturday is mostly sold except front seats, and Sunday is filling up faster than I thought (I was going to go on Sunday after F1 race).
