Will Canada call for an early federal election before the 2025 election?
Will Canada call for an early federal election before the 2025 election?
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1kṀ7699resolved Apr 2
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Just like in 2021, the election was called early. This must be the case to resolve this question YES. If the election for 2025 happens and an early election is not called, this resolves NO.
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Can you specify the date before which a called election is "early"? The absolute last day is October 20, 2025. If the election is held on October 17, is that "early"?
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Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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