Will the third most popular candidate in the 2024 US presidential election receive X% or more of the popular vote?
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Nov 5
41%
>=5%
6%
>=10%
4%
>=15%
1.4%
>=20%

">=X%" stands for greater than or equal to X%.

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This question was created in response to a comment by @FunnyGeeks.

My guess is that something is going to make Trump inelligible for presidency, then the republican vote will be split between several candidates. Then since it's pretty clear that Joe Biden is the democratic candidate this year then he'll win. I imagine the votes will be like 45% democrat, 30% republican candidate 1, 18% republican candidate 2, 7% other. And then democrats win.