Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if all men's national teams that have won a FIFA World Cup in the 21st century (since 2001) and qualified for the 2026 FIFA World Cup finish in first place in their respective group-stage groups. Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.

• Teams Evaluated: Argentina (2022 winner), France (2018 winner), Germany (2014 winner), Spain (2010 winner), and Brazil (2002 winner).

• Italy (2006 winner): Because Italy failed to qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup, they do not have a group. Their absence is ignored for the purposes of this market rather than triggering a "NO" or "N/A" resolution. Only the five participating teams listed above are evaluated.

• Source of Truth: Group stage standings as finalized on the official FIFA Standings page or documented on Wikipedia's 2026 FIFA World Cup page.

• Preconditions: If the group stage of the 2026 World Cup is canceled or not fully completed for any of the groups containing the five evaluated teams, the market will resolve to N/A.

Background

The men's FIFA World Cup winners of this century (from 2001 onward) are:

• 2002: Brazil

• 2006: Italy (Failed to qualify for the 2026 tournament)

• 2010: Spain

• 2014: Germany

• 2018: France

• 2022: Argentina

In the expanded 48-team format of the 2026 tournament, the five participating 21st-century champions compete in the following groups:

• Brazil: Group C (with Morocco, Scotland, Haiti)

• Germany: Group E (with Curaçao, Ivory Coast, Ecuador)

• Spain: Group H (with Cape Verde, Saudi Arabia, Uruguay)

• France: Group I (with Senegal, Iraq, Norway)

• Argentina: Group J (with Algeria, Austria, Jordan)

This description was generated by AI.