Number of countries with strict Sharia law implementation by December 31, 2030
4
100แน€117
2030
14%
Fewer countries than in Oct 2025
67%
Same # of countries as Oct 2025
16%
More countries than in Oct 2025
3%
Other

This market predicts how many countries will have strict Sharia law implementation (where Sharia governs most or all aspects of legal system) by December 31, 2030. A few countries, such as Iran and Taliban-controlled Afghanistan, allow strictly conservative classic Sharia principles to shape the entirety of their legal system. Countries like Saudi Arabia, Iran, Sudan, and Afghanistan impose an extreme version of Sharia law. Currently, approximately 4-6 countries implement strict Sharia law comprehensively.

Resolution Criteria: Based on analysis from World Population Review's annual Sharia Law Countries report and academic sources. Countries must have Sharia as primary legal framework governing criminal, civil, and family law.

Source: World Population Review

  • Update 2025-10-27 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The 'Other' category should be ignored and will not come into play unless something extraordinary happens that changes the count of countries (such as countries merging, splitting apart, being invaded, etc.).

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Please ignore the 'Other' category. Unless something really out of the ordinary happens that changes the count of countries (like countries merging, splitting apart, being invaded, etc.), this option will not come into play.

Please ignore the 'Other' category. Unless something really out of the ordinary happens that changes the count of countries (like countries merging, splitting apart, being invaded, etc.), this option will not come into play.

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