Will scientists find a continuous, million-year ice core in Antarctica by 2028?
7
170Ṁ1322029
77%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The oldest continuous ice core in Antartica is about 800 thousand years, from the EPICA Dome C core (See: https://cp.copernicus.org/articles/3/485/2007/cp-3-485-2007.pdf).
This market resolves to YES if before Dec. 31, 2028, a journal article presents a continuous million-year or longer record of Antarctic Ice. A pre-print would be sufficient for resolution (provided it seems reputable).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will the Antarctic Snow Cruiser be found again by the end of 2028?
15% chance
Will a previously unknown civilization be discovered in Antarctica by 2027?
5% chance
Will the Antarctic sea ice extent reach at least 25 million square kilometers at least once this century?
15% chance
Will another person be born in Antarctica by the end of 2026?
10% chance
Will Antarctica be connected to high-speed fiber optic cable by the end of 2025?
3% chance
When will the Antarctic sea ice reach nearly zero before 2100?
25% chance
Will Antarctica be connected to high-speed fiber optic cable by the end of 2026?
24% chance
Will any country start mining in Antarctica by 2050?
74% chance
Will a city be built in Antarctica for permanent human residence by 2050?
23% chance
Will a war break out between two or more countries over control of Antarctic land or resources by 2027?
8% chance