I am flying into Newark (from a western US city) on May 15 and flying out May 19. This resolves to YES if either of these flights arrive more than 2 hour late or are cancelled. I will use FlightAware arrival times to determine this. If I am rebooked on another flight, I will use the arrival time of the second flight to determine whether I was late by more than 2 hours. I won't trade in this market.