Is the Ivory-billed woodpecker extinct?
6
100Ṁ66
2040
55%
chance

There is debate about whether the Ivory-billed woodpecker is extinct (See Latta et al., 2023, for instance). The last confirmed sighting was in 1944.

This question resolves to NO if a clear image of an Ivory billed woodpecker is published in the next 15 years. There must be a general consensus of experts that the image is of an Ivory-billed woodpecker. If no such image is published by market close, this market resolves YES.

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=[ i hope not

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