MANIFOLD
End Kidney Deaths Act passed by 2027?
3
Ṁ100Ṁ196
2028
12%
chance

Resolves YES if: By December 31, 2027, legislation is signed into law providing at least $10,000 in financial compensation to living kidney donors who donate to strangers. This must be compensation beyond mere expense reimbursement.

Resolves NO otherwise.

Clarifications:

  • "Signed into law" = presidential signature or veto override. Passage by Congress alone doesn't count.

  • Inclusion in an omnibus bill counts if the donor compensation provisions meet the $10k threshold.

  • Pilot programs only count if the statute guarantees ≥$10k (not left to agency discretion).

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