Will the CEO of Crowdstrike (George Kurtz) resign or get fired in 2024 due to the global tech outages?
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If he resigns or is fired from CrowdStrike, what’s your criteria for determining whether it’s due to the outage?

I think if Crowdstrike, George Kurtz, or other trusted sources (like AP) say that it is related to the outages, that’s a pretty easy yes. If he is fired or resigns in 2024 and the outages aren’t given as a reason, then it becomes a little murkier and my course of action will likely depend on the context (like maybe a whistleblower comes forward, and there’s an investigation into that, but that takes some time to verify). I will try to find consensus as more information comes out. If it is truly murky, possible actions would be to a), delay resolving until more info is available and there is a clear answer, b), compile a summary of the evidence and create a poll on how to resolve from there, c) resolve “no” unless it stated by Crowdstrike, George Kurtz, or another trusted source that it was due to the outages.

I am open to suggestions!

I'm imagining if he left the company at any point this year, AP and friends would typically write something like "his ouster comes after an outage that ...", where "after" is technically correct while also hinting at the causality. And neither CrowdStrike nor media will make any definitive statement as to the reason.

I think if you go with (c), where you require an explicit statement, it's very hard for this to ever resolve to YES, but I also don't have any better suggestions.

If the Boeing CEO can survive as long as he did after problem after problem crashing entire planes and having to recall and ground others, I’m not sure how the CEO cofounder of Crowdstrike who built it up to a wildly successful company in the just 13 years it’s existed is going to be kicked out or give up over one incident. It’s going to take more than that and I doubt that that’s likely this year. I think the odds are more like 10% he announces or leaves the role in the next 6 months.

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