Will Northern Cyprus be a sovereign state before 2040?
Basic
4
Ṁ292040
31%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If Northern Cyprus joins the UN as a sovereign state, resolves as YES
If Northern Cyprus is self-declared sovereign and has >90% of international recognition, resolves as YES
If Northern Cyprus is self-declared sovereign and has <90% of international recognition, resolves as the percentage of countries that recognize its independence
If Northern Cyprus becomes independent only to join Turkey afterwards, resolves to YES or according to the percentage of countries that recognize that transition
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will Northern Cyprus be recognized by a country other than Turkey before October 2026?
26% chance
Will Turkey and/or Northern Cyprus occupy the Republic of Cyprus before 2030?
22% chance
Will Greenland be a sovereign state before 2040?
34% chance
Will Northern Ireland leave the UK by 2040?
25% chance
Will Somaliland be an internationally-recognized sovereign state before 2040?
74% chance
Will Cyprus be an official member of NATO by 2025?
5% chance
Will any part of pre-2014 Russia territory become an internationally recognized independent state by the end of 2040?
49% chance
Will Taiwan remain independent of China through 2049?
51% chance
Will there be a solution to the Cyprus problem before 2029?
19% chance
Will Northern Ireland join the Republic of Ireland by 2100?
70% chance