Will Killers of the Flower Moon be rated at least 8.0 in IMDB at the end of 2023?
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predicted NO

resolves NO @GustavoMafra

predicted YES

I don't suspect the rating will go up if the existing reviews are any indication. people almost seem to take it personally that the movie is so long 😅

bought Ṁ79 of NO

Most movies trend down. I'm surprised there aren't more votes though.

History is a bit whack, but viewable here: https://amp.ratingraph.com/movies/killers-of-the-flower-moon-ratings-301550/

Previous IMDB scores with Martin Scorsese as a director on IMDB:

"The Irishman" (2019) - IMDb Score: 7.8

"Casino" (1995) - IMDb Score: 8.2

Movies with Leonardo Dicaprio and Martin Scorsese:

1. Gangs of New York" (2002) - IMDb Score: 7.5

2. "The Aviator" (2004) - IMDb Score: 7.5

3. "The Departed" (2006) - IMDb Score: 8.5

4. "Shutter Island" (2010) - IMDb Score: 8.2

5. "The Wolf of Wall Street" (2013) - IMDb Score: 8.2

Movies with Robert di Nero and Martin Scorsese:

6. "Taxi Driver" (1976) - IMDb Score: 8.2 1.

7. "Raging Bull" (1980) - IMDb Score: 8.2

8. "The King of Comedy" (1982) - IMDb Score: 7.8

9. "Goodfellas" (1990) - IMDb Score: 8.7

10. "Cape Fear" (1991) - IMDb Score: 7.3.

Based on these scores, and a norm.dist(), there is a 45.50% chance that the upcoming film will receive a score above 8.0.

The reviews for this film have been increasingly positive, which makes me believe it will hold a score above 8.0.

https://www.resetera.com/threads/scorseses-killers-of-the-flower-moon-reviews-are-out-95-rt-92-mc.721450/

*this bet was made before looking at the IMDB score for the movie.

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