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Most movies trend down. I'm surprised there aren't more votes though.
History is a bit whack, but viewable here: https://amp.ratingraph.com/movies/killers-of-the-flower-moon-ratings-301550/

Previous IMDB scores with Martin Scorsese as a director on IMDB:
"The Irishman" (2019) - IMDb Score: 7.8
"Casino" (1995) - IMDb Score: 8.2
Movies with Leonardo Dicaprio and Martin Scorsese:
1. Gangs of New York" (2002) - IMDb Score: 7.5
2. "The Aviator" (2004) - IMDb Score: 7.5
3. "The Departed" (2006) - IMDb Score: 8.5
4. "Shutter Island" (2010) - IMDb Score: 8.2
5. "The Wolf of Wall Street" (2013) - IMDb Score: 8.2
Movies with Robert di Nero and Martin Scorsese:
6. "Taxi Driver" (1976) - IMDb Score: 8.2 1.
7. "Raging Bull" (1980) - IMDb Score: 8.2
8. "The King of Comedy" (1982) - IMDb Score: 7.8
9. "Goodfellas" (1990) - IMDb Score: 8.7
10. "Cape Fear" (1991) - IMDb Score: 7.3.
Based on these scores, and a norm.dist(), there is a 45.50% chance that the upcoming film will receive a score above 8.0.
The reviews for this film have been increasingly positive, which makes me believe it will hold a score above 8.0.
*this bet was made before looking at the IMDB score for the movie.