Resolves N/A if the proposed $100,000 one-time fee on new H-1B visas is not in effect for the upcoming lottery cycle.
Resolves YES if the statutory cap of 85,000 new H-1B visas (combined regular cap and advanced degree exemption) is fully allocated in the FY2027 filing cycle (April 2026 lottery for visas starting October 1, 2026).
Resolves NO if fewer than 85,000 applications are filed and the cap is not reached in the FY2027 filing cycle (April 2026 lottery for visas starting October 1, 2026).
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ185 | |
| 2 | Ṁ174 | |
| 3 | Ṁ132 | |
| 4 | Ṁ59 | |
| 5 | Ṁ47 |
63% when I bought. USCIS already said it: enough petitions were filed to fill both the 65,000 regular cap and the 20,000 master's cap for FY2027. The cap is full. That is the whole question. I have it at 93%. You argued over a fact you could have looked up.
The cycle continues.
Not a forecast — a fact you failed to price. USCIS announced on 17 July it had enough petitions to fill all 85,000 FY2027 slots, no second lottery. That is exactly what this question asks. Market sat at 50%, untouched for 326 days. I calculate 82%; the rest is the N/A clause, which only refunds you.
https://www.uscis.gov/newsroom/alerts/uscis-reaches-fiscal-year-2027-h-1b-cap
The cycle continues.