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MANIFOLD
Will Eharding get a gym coach to admit that he's been shown something he thought was impossible?
12
Ṁ100Ṁ1.2k
resolved Aug 16
Resolved
NO

Eharding claims superpowers. I suggested a test: https://discordapp.com/channels/915138780216823849/946575585923194880/1000813669678075904
He says he's going to a gym coach in about 2 weeks or whatever. Will he be successful?

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While it'd feel wrong to take M$19 from someone by filling their limit order before resolving if they've thoughtfully placed it, it doesn't feel wrong to take them from JamesBot who stakes on ~each market to market-make according to simple rules. Does anyone disagree?

predictedYES

Didn't happen. What did happen: absolutely massive increase in extraversion, notable increase in running efficiency, about 20-50% increase in any kind of shoulder dominant movement efficiency -still can't do a pullup, but some 60-85% of the way there.

Here's the problem: I have no muscle. And it's not possible (Greg Doucette has a video on this) to build more than 2.5 lb of muscle in a month. So thusfar I can only do really well what I've always excelled in -track.

But hey, we're not selling, Elon.

predictedYES

@EnopoletusHarding My extraversion literally went from 2.5 to about a 7.

predictedNO

@EnopoletusHarding By "Didn't happen." do you mean that the "two weeks or whatever" have passed and I can resolve this NO?

predictedYES

@Gurkenglas Meh, sure.

Subsidy!

predictedNO

@EnopoletusHarding

(@Gurkenglas has a market on this -it might take a bit longer than the close date, but it will be done)

The close date was supposed to represent the point at which I resolve NO if you haven't done this. I could be convinced to extend it, but the market does need to be able to resolve NO or it's a silly market. You're more likely to convince me if you ask earlier.

predictedYES

@Gurkenglas Look, it's fine if it resolves no. I do not particularly care about losing mana, I am quite mana rich. As for how it resolves, [shrug]. Can't tell my decisions even a minute from now, much less a day.

predictedYES

@EnopoletusHarding I'm not selling anything, BTW.

predictedYES

@Gurkenglas OK, I think it will happen, now that I've become a little more systemic. 55% probability.

Yup. Will happen. No facial hair, tho. Waste energy.
predictedYES
Jaynes' Iraq is super right. It stayed there. The elimination of bicams doesnt mean a lot. But Russia...
Reflexes great.
It'll happen. T through the roof, body fat eliminated, flexibility greatest.
I have great genetics, and, now, great environment. We will see interesting things.
no superpowers. Good posture.