About once per day, I'll roll a $daysleft-sided die and on a 1 I resolve this market. I'll look at the order book, multiply each YES limit order by its probability, and add them up. I'll multiply each NO limit order by (1-its probability) and add them up. I resolve to whether the first sum is larger than the second sum. Only each trader's largest-in-M$ limit order per side counts.

Close date updated to 2022-08-03 3:17 pm