Conditional on Jurchen-Honorable resolving N/A, will Jurchen have at least +100 on Undex-Round-2?
In retrospect I should not have bid this up so high, since the worlds where the underlying market resolves N/A are likely to be ones where Gurkenglas and Undox agree that I am not at +100 and in that case I cannot get to +100 without being dishonorable (which I do not believe myself to be). But I think I'm better off holding my shares in the expectation that this will resolve N/A than selling them off at a loss.
I guess it's not dishonorable to trade in that world, as long as I'm doing it in order to push my profit to M$100. So on reflection I feel good about my YES, as long as the "you are not at +M$100" statement doesn't come right before the market resolves.