Will any Netflix movie receive an Oscar nomination for Best Picture?
Resolved
YES

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any movie originally distributed by Netflix receives a nomination for the main category of Best Picture for the 95th Academy Awards.

This market will resolve to "No" otherwise.

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josh avatar
Joshbought Ṁ50 of YES
ZacharyFreitasGroff avatar
Zachary Freitas-Groffpredicted NO at 67%

What movies would qualify here? Does, e.g., RRR, count? I would think not, but this market seems too high to me. Glass Onion seems 50/50 or worse, and others (e.g. All Quiet, Pinocchio) don't seem like they should add up to 17%.

JackGaller avatar
Jack Galler

@ZacharyFreitasGroff Apparently the “All Quiet on the Western Front” reboot has been generating some buzz

ZacharyFreitasGroff avatar
Zachary Freitas-Groffpredicted NO at 73%

@JackGaller I see. But to my knowledge, no major predictor thinks it'll be nominated.

HoraceHe avatar
Horace He

@JackGaller Those predictions are crazy - there’s no chance that black Panther has higher odds in best picture than Babylon.

Also, the oscars moved this year to a flat 10 nominees in best picture, as opposed to the (weird) system they had before.