Will any Netflix movie receive an Oscar nomination for Best Picture?
42
55
640
resolved Jan 24
Resolved
YES

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any movie originally distributed by Netflix receives a nomination for the main category of Best Picture for the 95th Academy Awards.

This market will resolve to "No" otherwise.

Get Ṁ1,000 play money

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ170
2Ṁ105
3Ṁ55
4Ṁ49
5Ṁ43
Sort by:
bought Ṁ50 of YES
predicted NO

What movies would qualify here? Does, e.g., RRR, count? I would think not, but this market seems too high to me. Glass Onion seems 50/50 or worse, and others (e.g. All Quiet, Pinocchio) don't seem like they should add up to 17%.

@ZacharyFreitasGroff Apparently the “All Quiet on the Western Front” reboot has been generating some buzz

predicted NO

@JackGaller I see. But to my knowledge, no major predictor thinks it'll be nominated.

@JackGaller Those predictions are crazy - there’s no chance that black Panther has higher odds in best picture than Babylon.

Also, the oscars moved this year to a flat 10 nominees in best picture, as opposed to the (weird) system they had before.

More related questions