resolved Jan 24

Culture Entertainment and Pop Culture Movies

Will any Netflix movie receive an Oscar nomination for Best Picture?

Resolved

YES

1D

1W

1M

ALL

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any movie originally distributed by Netflix receives a nomination for the main category of Best Picture for the 95th Academy Awards.

This market will resolve to "No" otherwise.

🏅 Top traders

#	Name	Total profit
1	Horace He	Ṁ170
2	Zachary Freitas-Groff	Ṁ105
3	Ed Ayers	Ṁ55
4	Trent Yazzo	Ṁ49
5	David Kochanov	Ṁ43

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Joshbought Ṁ50 of YES

Zachary Freitas-Groffpredicted NO at 67%

What movies would qualify here? Does, e.g., RRR, count? I would think not, but this market seems too high to me. Glass Onion seems 50/50 or worse, and others (e.g. All Quiet, Pinocchio) don't seem like they should add up to 17%.

@ZacharyFreitasGroff Apparently the “All Quiet on the Western Front” reboot has been generating some buzz

Zachary Freitas-Groffpredicted NO at 73%

@JackGaller I see. But to my knowledge, no major predictor thinks it'll be nominated.

Jack Gallerpredicted YES at 73%

@ZacharyFreitasGroff It's on Variety's 10th for best picture predictions - last year there were 9 best picture nominees

@JackGaller Those predictions are crazy - there’s no chance that black Panther has higher odds in best picture than Babylon.

Also, the oscars moved this year to a flat 10 nominees in best picture, as opposed to the (weird) system they had before.

Bolton Bailey bought Ṁ100 YES at 94%

Bolton Bailey bought Ṁ100 YES from 93% to 94%

Ed Ayers bought Ṁ100 YES at 93%

Ed Ayers bought Ṁ100 YES from 92% to 93%

Ed Ayers bought Ṁ100 YES from 91% to 92%

Matt May bought Ṁ10 YES at 91%

Benji Horwell bought Ṁ83 YES at 91%

yaboi69 bought Ṁ25 YES from 90% to 91%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ100/Ṁ100 YES at 90%

Quentin Kniep bought Ṁ60 NO from 94% to 89%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ100/Ṁ100 YES at 94%

David Kochanov bought Ṁ114 YES from 93% to 94%

David Kochanov bought Ṁ260 YES from 91% to 93%

David Kochanov bought Ṁ292 YES from 89% to 91%

David Kochanov sold Ṁ7 NO from 88% to 89%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ63/Ṁ100 YES at 88% (cancelled)

Henri Thunberg bought Ṁ130 YES from 85% to 87%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ40/Ṁ100 YES at 85% (cancelled)

wasabipesto bought Ṁ100 YES from 82% to 84%

Kathryn O'Rourke sold Ṁ8 NO from 81% to 82%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ48/Ṁ100 YES at 81% (cancelled)

Josh bought Ṁ50 YES from 78% to 80%

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot filled limit order Ṁ8/Ṁ10 NO at 78% (cancelled)

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ6/Ṁ100 NO at 79% (cancelled)

Horace He bought Ṁ300 YES from 66% to 80%

Dustin bought Ṁ10 YES at 66%

Horace He bought Ṁ100 YES from 59% to 66%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ7/Ṁ100 NO at 59% (cancelled)

Horace He sold Ṁ52 NO from 54% to 60%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ25/Ṁ100 NO at 54% (cancelled)

Trent Yazzo bought Ṁ59 YES from 51% to 57%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ10/Ṁ100 YES at 51% (cancelled)

Henri Thunberg bought Ṁ55 NO from 57% to 50%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ6/Ṁ100 NO at 57% (cancelled)

Zachary Freitas-Groff bought Ṁ50 YES from 52% to 58%

Cleo sold Ṁ18 YES from 55% to 52%

Kathryn O'Rourke bought Ṁ20 NO from 57% to 55%

Cleo sold Ṁ10 YES from 59% to 57%

Cleo bought Ṁ10 YES from 57% to 59%

Cleo bought Ṁ10 YES from 56% to 57%

Cleo bought Ṁ10 YES from 55% to 56%

Predictor 🔥 bought Ṁ10 NO from 57% to 55%

David Kochanov bought Ṁ20 NO from 60% to 57%

cos filled limit order Ṁ13/Ṁ13 NO at 60%

Zachary Freitas-Groff bought Ṁ25 YES from 57% to 60%

Horace He bought Ṁ50 NO from 63% to 57%

Zachary Freitas-Groff bought Ṁ65 YES at 63%

Zachary Freitas-Groff sold Ṁ20 NO from 60% to 63%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ6/Ṁ100 YES at 60% (cancelled)

tb bought Ṁ20 NO from 63% to 59%