I am a 28-year-old data engineer from Brazil. I currently work for a consultancy firm and am allocated to a Canadian company. The economic and political situation in Brazil is currently very bad, and my fiancée and I are planning to leave the country because of this. I do not have European citizenship, which makes the process harder. My fiancée does have Italian citizenship, but we are not planning to move to Italy at the moment. Right now, I estimate our chances of successfully moving to Canada, Portugal, or Paraguay by the end of 2027 at around 20%. However, if I get promoted from senior analyst to consultant, I believe those chances would rise to about 45%.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to YES if I successfully relocate from Brazil to take up long-term or permanent residence in another country (such as Canada, Portugal, Paraguay, or any other nation) on or before December 31, 2027.

This relocation must be official and long-term (e.g., via a work visa, residency permit, study permit, or permanent residency). Temporary tourist travel or short-term vacation stays do not qualify for a YES resolution.

This market will resolve to NO if I still reside primarily in Brazil as of January 1, 2028.

Background

Economic and political volatility in Brazil has prompted many skilled tech professionals to look abroad. As a 28-year-old data engineer contracted with a Canadian company, several common migration pathways exist for my fiancee and me:

• Canada: Because I already work with a Canadian company, corporate relocation or intra-company transfer is a possibility. Alternatively, Canada’s Express Entry system targets tech and STEM professionals.

• Portugal: Portugal is a major hub for Brazilian expats. Options include the D8 Digital Nomad Visa (which requires remote earners to prove monthly income of at least four times the Portuguese minimum wage), or the D3 Highly Qualified Activity Visa.

• Paraguay: As a Mercosur member state, Paraguay offers Brazilian citizens simplified entry and residency requirements, combined with low tax rates, making it an increasingly popular alternative.

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