Was the shooter a Trump supporter?

Question

Was the shooter responsible for assassination attempt at White House Correspondent's dinner a Trump supporter?

What will count as sufficient proof for YES.

If he had previously voted for Trump.

Pro-Trump posts on social media.

Family and close friends reports that he was a Trump supporter.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Unlikely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 13% chance (8 traders, as of Apr 26, 2026).

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