Will a category 4 or higher hurricane make landfall in the US in October 2024?
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resolved Nov 1
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NO

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I don’t intend for this to apply to US territories.

@GregW so for instance, Puerto Rico wouldn't count?

I’m going to say no since i wasn’t thinking about including territories when I created the question. I meant US states.

@GregW would a cat 4 or higher hurricane count if it makes landfall on any USA territory?

Take my mana

Irresponsible and risky bet ftw 😅

bought Ṁ20 NO

Not sure why this is at 93%, Milton is still forecast to weaken to a high-end Category 3 before landfall.

@SaviorofPlant 60 hours from 10CDT is forecast to be 110 kt which is a sliver below cat 4. However landfall forecast for 7pm Wed ~57 hours later so 35% seems too low but I agree 93% does seem too high.

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