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MANIFOLD
Will a living US President (past or current) pass away before the end of 2023?
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resolved Dec 31
Resolved
NO

This list includes: Carter, Clinton, Bush, Obama, Trump, Biden

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predictedYES

Oh man, you might have cursed Jimmy Carter.

I have added a new question, for next year: https://manifold.markets/GregF/will-a-living-us-president-past-or-48f8fbef5f27?r=R3JlZ0Y

predictedNO

Related

Based on age and gender only:

Carter age 99, prob. of living another year 63.4%

Clinton 77, 95.1%

Bush 77, 95.1%

Obama 62, 98.5%

Trump 77, 95.1%

Biden 81, 92.8%

Total 49.8% all of them living another whole year.

@0482 not to mention presidents out of office have a longer life expectancy at most ages than the general public due to the correlation of wealth and health.

Well we can be sure no already deceased ones will.

High School GIF

Fine, Guess Not. 😂

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"Final Chapter" 🥜

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